- All pitchers on an active roster or disabled list on August 31 are eligible.
- For the reliever rankings, pitchers who relieved more games than they started in 2007 and 2008 combined are included. Pitchers with no games count as starters and are not eligible.
- Statistics used are totals for the 2007 and 2008 season.
- For all counting stats, there is an adjustment for days missed on the disabled list.
- The stats used for relievers are Total Games (Games Started*2+Games Relieved), Innings Pitched, Wins+Saves, Winning Percentage, ERA, IP/Hits, and Strikeouts. Note that Innings receive just 75% of the weight of the others.
- Each player is ranked in each of the categories, with the leader getting the maximum amount of points and the last place player in the category getting zero.
- The total score the percentage of possible points attained by the player.
Before going into his stats, Brocail missed 20 days on the disabled list last year. This means that each of his counting statistics will be multiplied by 364/344 or 1.05814 to adjust.
- Brocail appeared in 139 games, all in relief, over the past two seasons. Multiplying by the adjustment, he comes out to 147.1 total games. This ranks 22nd out of the 150 relievers, getting him 128 points.
- He proceeded to have 145 1/3 innings. Multiplied by the adjustment, this comes out to 153.8 innings. This is good for 32nd. The 118 points he would receive are adjusted and multiplied by .75. He gets 88.5 out of the possible 111.75.
- Here you will start to see the biggest flaw in this ranking. Brocail finished up with 12 wins and two saves, totalling 14. Multiplying by the adjustment, he gets credited for 14.8: good for 36th place and 114 points.
- Winning percentage is next. Before going into Brocail's winning percentage, can I point out how ludicrous it is to count this stat? Is a reliever racking up wins really practicing a skill? It's really just a matter of if they happen to be in a game when the offense decides to put some runs on the board. Sometimes they get so lucky that they can blow the lead and be on the hill when the offense takes the lead back. If we are rewarding relievers for doing that, we know what was suspected before anybody tried to figure out these rankings. They are crap. Anyways, Brocail put up an impressive 12-6 record with a winning percentage of .667. He is in a massive tie for 23rd with Clay Condrey, Jack Taschner, Doug Waechter, Cory Wade, and Alex Hinshaw. They share the 23rd through 28th place points and get 124.5 points apiece for winning percentage.
- Brocail put up a solid 3.47 ERA, but it was only good for 50th place among the pool of relievers. This gets him 100 points for ERA.
- With 129 hits allowed in 145 1/3 innings, Brocail had 1.13 IP/H, 51st best among relievers. He gets 99 points here.
- Finally, Brocail had 107 strikeouts, prorated to 113.2. This was the 46th best total among relievers, good for 104 points.
This total is good for 13th place among all relievers, well within the top 20 percent who attain Type A status. You may notice the projected cut for A/B status is 67.338. That is quite low compared to other positions, which tend to be in the mid 70's. Looking at the categories, you can see why. It is very easy for several players to put together a few dominant innings and dominate ERA and IP/H. Meanwhile, players who spent some time starting will rack up the innings and strikeouts, as evidenced by Ryan Dempster, Brett Myers, and Chad Gaudin loading up the innings and strikeouts. Total games will be dominated by LOOGY's who face one batter a game, while wins+saves will be run primarily by closers. Those closers, though, don't get that big of a boost because non-closers can still rack up 120 points in that category. Whereas C.C. Sabathia almost ran the table, it is very difficult to do so given the categories used for relievers. Finally, I'm done blabbing, here are the rankings:
Name | Type | TotalScore |
Brad Lidge | A | 89.361 |
Carlos Marmol | A | 86.329 |
Heath Bell | A | 85.334 |
Takashi Saito | A | 83.743 |
Ryan Dempster | A | 83.520 |
Russ Springer | A | 81.929 |
Juan Cruz | A | 81.929 |
Jose Valverde | A | 79.319 |
Jonathan Broxton | A | 78.822 |
Billy Wagner | A | 76.709 |
Kevin Gregg | A | 75.665 |
Chad Qualls | A | 75.466 |
Doug Brocail | A | 75.367 |
Brian Fuentes | A | 75.242 |
Matt Capps | A | 74.969 |
Jon Rauch | A | 74.621 |
Ryan Madson | A | 73.726 |
Francisco Cordero | A | 73.478 |
Jared Burton | A | 72.956 |
Manuel Corpas | A | 72.086 |
Kerry Wood | A | 72.036 |
John Grabow | A | 71.688 |
Tony Pena | A | 71.066 |
J.C. Romero | A | 70.694 |
Jesus Colome | A | 68.804 |
Aaron Heilman | A | 68.084 |
Taylor Buchholz | A | 67.785 |
Jason Isringhausen | A | 67.711 |
Ryan Franklin | A | 67.487 |
Carlos Villanueva | A | 67.338 |
Joe Beimel | B | 67.064 |
Jeremy Affeldt | B | 66.617 |
Peter Moylan | B | 66.592 |
Luis Vizcaino | B | 66.542 |
Chad Durbin | B | 66.020 |
Chad Gaudin | B | 65.896 |
Rafael Soriano | B | 65.896 |
Scott Proctor | B | 65.051 |
Saul Rivera | B | 65.026 |
Brett Myers | B | 64.802 |
Salomon Torres | B | 64.753 |
Pedro Feliciano | B | 64.715 |
Brian Shouse | B | 64.529 |
Bobby Howry | B | 63.932 |
Jason Grilli | B | 63.659 |
Dave Weathers | B | 63.560 |
Joe Smith | B | 63.336 |
Tim Byrdak | B | 63.311 |
Rudy Seanez | B | 62.864 |
Tyler Yates | B | 62.665 |
Trevor Hoffman | B | 62.043 |
Joel Hanrahan | B | 61.322 |
Eric Gagne | B | 61.049 |
Matt Lindstrom | B | 60.900 |
Renyel Pinto | B | 59.906 |
Buddy Carlyle | B | 59.682 |
Chris Sampson | B | 59.558 |
Hong-Chih Kuo | B | 59.060 |
Joe Nelson | B | 59.060 |
Brandon Lyon | B | 58.091 |
Arthur Rhodes | 57.992 | |
Geoff Geary | 56.997 | |
Sean Marshall | 56.351 | |
Brian Wilson | 55.829 | |
Chad Cordero | 55.580 | |
Brad Thompson | 55.232 | |
Logan Kensing | 55.208 | |
LaTroy Hawkins | 55.058 | |
Brian Moehler | 54.661 | |
Cory Wade | 54.064 | |
Guillermo Mota | 53.443 | |
Scott Eyre | 52.871 | |
Will Ohman | 52.523 | |
Mike Gonzalez | 52.250 | |
Mark Hendrickson | 52.125 | |
Henry Owens | 51.255 | |
Sergio Romo | 51.106 | |
Kevin Correia | 50.907 | |
Manny Acosta | 50.733 | |
Cla Meredith | 50.659 | |
David Riske | 50.584 | |
Matt Herges | 50.584 | |
Jeff Bennett | 50.186 | |
Justin Hampson | 49.863 | |
Luis Ayala | 49.515 | |
Edgar Gonzalez | 48.869 | |
Clay Condrey | 48.720 | |
Seth McClung | 48.185 | |
Jack Taschner | 48.049 | |
Steven Shell | 47.502 | |
Tom Gordon | 47.030 | |
Mike Adams | 46.408 | |
Duaner Sanchez | 46.085 | |
Alex Hinshaw | 46.085 | |
Chris Perez | 45.911 | |
Jeff Samardzija | 45.464 | |
Tyler Walker | 44.867 | |
Bill Bray | 44.693 | |
Lee Gardner | 44.494 | |
Merkin Valdez | 44.320 | |
Julian Tavarez | 44.146 | |
Ambiorix Burgos | 44.096 | |
Brett Tomko | 43.873 | |
Wesley Wright | 42.381 | |
Ryan Speier | 40.989 | |
Scott Schoeneweis | 40.691 | |
Doug Waechter | 40.418 | |
Ron Villone | 40.393 | |
Chan Ho Park | 39.398 | |
Kent Mercker | 36.987 | |
Tyler Johnson | 36.776 | |
Wilfredo Ledezma | 36.565 | |
Jon Lieber | 35.943 | |
Keiichi Yabu | 35.521 | |
Nick Masset | 34.526 | |
Tony Armas | 34.054 | |
Max Scherzer | 33.060 | |
Matt Wise | 32.314 | |
Denny Bautista | 32.115 | |
Josh Kinney | 31.718 | |
Kyle McClellan | 29.058 | |
Mike Lincoln | 28.909 | |
Glendon Rusch | 28.163 | |
Ramon Troncoso | 27.716 | |
Billy Sadler | 27.542 | |
Sean Burnett | 26.821 | |
Blaine Boyer | 26.199 | |
Garrett Mock | 25.354 | |
Nelson Figueroa | 24.534 | |
Charlie Manning | 24.509 | |
Brian Stokes | 24.459 | |
Mike Zagurski | 23.788 | |
Jason Davis | 23.714 | |
Clay Hensley | 22.719 | |
Vladimir Nunez | 22.645 | |
Neal Cotts | 21.626 | |
Angel Guzman | 18.543 | |
Chad Fox | 17.425 | |
Brian Falkenborg | 16.281 | |
Dick Hayhurst | 16.157 | |
Elmer Dessens | 14.653 | |
Gary Majewski | 14.044 | |
Jason Johnson | 12.702 | |
Osiris Matos | 11.285 | |
Harvey Garcia | 10.142 | |
Francisco Rosario | 9.993 | |
Jesse Chavez | 4.300 | |
Marco Estrada | 3.505 | |
Scott Elbert | 2.361 | |
Yhency Brazoban | 2.138 |
Free Agent
Free Agent with Option
Released
From the Tigers standpoint, I'd honestly steer clear of most of these guys. It is just so much easier to pitch in the National League, even for relievers who don't get to face other pitchers. Between the interleague disparity and plenty of American League pitchers who went to National League clubs and started dominating, there is enough evidence to show that the National League is just weaker. Whether it's Sabathia and Harden pitching flawlessly or Tigers' castoffs like Tim Byrdak, Jason Grilli, and Chad Durbin finding a home there, you have to account for league strength before picking anybody up from the other league. I just don't think the second round draft pick is worth giving up for any of the Type A guys.
3 comments:
Beimel, Affeldt, Torres, and Weathers are all worth going after, IMO, for the Tigers. We need help in the pen. Serious help- as in overhaul. If DD settles for Will Ohman, I will say Oh man! That's a bad Omen! Sorry, but true.
Aaron Heilman is a Type A free agent?
hahahahahahahahahaha
Omar Minaya would think he hit the lottery if he got 2 draft picks for Heilman.
Heilman isn't a type a free agent. He won't be a free agent for two more seasons.
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