Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Projected Elias Rankings

The good news is that I have finally, with reasonable certainty, figured out the disabled list adjustment in the Elias Rankings. The bad news is that it requires going through every player's transactions data and does not lend itself to quick updating.

This post will have my projected Elias Sports Bureau Rankings. I will post a different positional group every few days.

Players in Bold will be free agents after the year. Players in bold and italicized have options on their contracts.

For more information on where these numbers are coming from, check the following posts:
http://tigers-thoughts.blogspot.com/2008/07/almost-how-elias-sports-bureau-rankings.html
http://tigers-thoughts.blogspot.com/2008/07/one-more-elias-post.html
http://tigers-thoughts.blogspot.com/2008/08/real-quick-elias-update.html

If you have any questions, please leave them in the comments section or email me, and I should be able to answer them.

American League Catchers
Updated: September 14
Name Type TotalScore
Victor Martinez A 91.935
Joe Mauer A 88.479
Jorge Posada A 84.332
Jason Varitek A 78.341
A.J. Pierzynski A 76.498
Ramon Hernandez A 74.654
Ivan Rodriguez B 72.350
Dioner Navarro B 67.281
Kurt Suzuki B 64.055
Mike Napoli B 62.442
Kenji Johjima B 61.751
Gerald Laird B 59.908
Miguel Olivo
58.065
Kelly Shoppach
56.682
Rod Barajas
55.760
Gregg Zaun
55.300
Mike Redmond
53.687
John Buck
53.456
Dave Ross
50.230
Jamie Burke
47.235
Jose Molina
38.940
Jeff Mathis
38.710
Jeff Clement
36.636
Jarrod Saltalamacchia
35.714
Rob Bowen
26.728
Kevin Cash
25.806
Toby Hall
24.885
Shawn Riggans
21.659
Guillermo Quiroz
14.977
Sal Fasano
13.594
Dane Sardinha
9.677
Vance Wilson
0.230

National League Catchers
Updated: September 14
Name Type TotalScore
Russell Martin A 84.170
Chris Snyder A 82.239
Geovany Soto A 81.467
Brian McCann A 81.081
Bengie Molina A 79.151
Yadier Molina A 76.062
Ryan Doumit A 75.676
Chris Iannetta B 72.201
Brian Schneider B 68.340
Josh Bard B 67.181
Carlos Ruiz B 66.409
Jason Kendall B 66.023
Yorvit Torrealba B 65.251
Chris Coste B 59.846
Paul Lo Duca B 58.687
Javier Valentin
54.826
Brad Ausmus
54.440
Jesus Flores
52.510
John Baker
49.035
Michael Barrett
48.649
Miguel Montero
47.490
Ramon Castro
47.104
Matt Treanor
46.332
Paul Bako
41.313
Ryan Hanigan
40.347
Mike Rivera
35.135
Gary Bennett
33.784
Raul Chavez
32.046
Henry Blanco
31.467
Mike Rabelo
30.502
Jason LaRue
26.641
Humberto Quintero
25.676
Adam Melhuse
23.552
Wil Nieves
23.359
Nick Hundley
23.166
Clint Sammons
17.954
Robinson Cancel
16.795
Danny Ardoin
14.093


American League First basemen, Outfielders, and Designated Hitters
Updated September 14
Name Type Score
Magglio Ordonez A 96.364
Mark Teixeira A 95.556
David Ortiz A 95.000
Vladimir Guerrero A 91.558
Nick Markakis A 88.312
Raul Ibanez A 87.792
Josh Hamilton A 86.494
Justin Morneau A 85.556
Curtis Granderson A 83.896
Grady Sizemore A 83.636
Bobby Abreu A 83.636
Carlos Pena A 83.333
Kevin Youkilis A 81.111
B.J. Upton A 80.519
Alexis Rios A 78.701
Hideki Matsui A 78.442
Jim Thome A 78.333
Aubrey Huff A 76.667
Torii Hunter A 75.584
Jason Bay A 74.805
Ichiro Suzuki A 74.416
Xavier Nady A 73.896
Milton Bradley B 73.333
Johnny Damon B 72.468
Carl Crawford B 71.688
Jermaine Dye B 70.260
J.D. Drew B 70.130
Jose Guillen B 69.610
Garret Anderson B 69.610
Jack Cust B 69.221
Ken Griffey B 68.831
Marlon Byrd B 66.753
Nick Swisher B 65.455
Carlos Quentin B 64.935
Delmon Young B 64.416
Vernon Wells B 63.636
Paul Konerko B 63.333
Frank Thomas B 63.333
David DeJesus B 62.468
Gary Sheffield B 61.667
Jason Kubel B 61.039
Michael Cuddyer B 60.000
Sean Casey B 58.889
Jason Giambi B 57.778
Luke Scott
57.662
Travis Hafner
56.667
Ryan Garko
56.111
Cliff Floyd
56.104
Mark Teahen
56.104
Lyle Overbay
55.556
Shin-Soo Choo
52.987
Kevin Millar
52.778
David Murphy
52.338
Coco Crisp
51.688
Denard Span
50.909
Cody Ransom
46.111
Gary Matthews
45.714
Jacoby Ellsbury
45.195
Billy Butler
45.000
Ross Gload
44.444
Reggie Willits
42.987
Mike Morse
41.688
Frank Catalanotto
40.779
Marcus Thames
40.260
Travis Snider
39.870
Brad Wilkerson
39.740
Emil Brown
39.610
Chris Davis
38.889
Adam Lind
38.701
Eric Hinske
38.182
Jay Payton
37.922
Willie Bloomquist
37.922
Ben Francisco
37.792
Franklin Gutierrez
37.792
Ryan Sweeney
37.403
Gabe Gross
37.273
Mike Sweeney
35.000
Mark Kotsay
34.805
Adam Jones
34.805
Luis Montanez
33.896
David Dellucci
32.208
Carlos Gomez
31.558
Mitch Maier
31.429
Daric Barton
31.111
Kendry Morales
30.556
Aaron Cunningham
30.260
Joey Gathright
30.000
Ryan Raburn
29.870
Randy Ruiz
29.167
Matthew Joyce
28.442
Nelson Cruz
27.013
Juan Rivera
25.974
Rajai Davis
25.714
Brandon Boggs
25.065
Robb Quinlan
25.000
Jeremy Reed
21.169
Dewayne Wise
20.909
Miguel Cairo
18.889
Jeff Bailey
17.222
Jonathan Van Every
16.364
Rocco Baldelli
16.364
Jeff Larish
15.000
Oscar Salazar
15.000
Wladimir Balentien
11.688
Brian N. Anderson
11.688
Bryan LaHair
7.778
Tug Hulett
5.833
Justin Ruggiano
5.584
Brett Gardner
4.416
Fernando Perez
1.429

National League First basemen, Outfielders, and Designated Hitters
Updated September 15
Name Type Score
Matt Holliday A 97.500
Albert Pujols A 96.296
Carlos Lee A 91.875
Manny Ramirez A 90.521
Brad Hawpe A 87.917
Carlos Beltran A 86.667
Lance Berkman A 84.444
Alfonso Soriano A 84.167
Ryan Braun A 83.333
Aaron Rowand A 83.333
Adam Dunn A 80.938
Randy Winn A 79.479
Pat Burrell A 78.750
Prince Fielder A 77.778
Brian Giles A 77.708
Derrek Lee A 77.037
Andre Ethier A 76.875
Jayson Werth A 76.042
Hunter Pence A 75.833
Ryan Ludwick A 75.104
Todd Helton A 74.815
Adrian Gonzalez A 74.074
Ryan Howard A 74.074
Corey Hart A 73.542
Jeremy Hermida A 71.667
Josh Willingham B 71.458
Matt Kemp B 71.042
Nate McLouth B 70.833
Ryan Church B 70.729
Ryan Spilborghs B 68.333
Shane Victorino B 68.333
Cody Ross B 67.917
Moises Alou B 66.354
James Loney B 64.815
Jeff Francoeur B 64.167
Matt Stairs B 63.958
Luis Gonzalez B 63.750
Eric Byrnes B 63.646
Skip Schumaker B 63.333
Mike Cameron B 62.917
Chris Young B 62.500
Dmitri Young B 61.481
Conor Jackson B 60.370
Austin Kearns B 59.896
Fred Lewis B 58.958
Rick Ankiel B 57.500
Adam LaRoche B 57.037
Carlos Delgado B 57.037
Chris Duncan B 56.875
Matt Diaz B 56.563
Casey Kotchman
54.815
Jim Edmonds
54.792
Fernando Tatis
54.583
Jody Gerut
51.979
Willie Harris
51.563
Lastings Milledge
50.625
Andruw Jones
49.792
Joey Votto
49.630
Juan Pierre
49.583
Geoff Jenkins
49.583
Omar Infante
49.375
Reed Johnson
49.167
Kosuke Fukudome
48.854
Chris Dickerson
48.438
Greg Norton
47.917
Willy Taveras
47.708
Bill Hall
47.708
Daniel Murphy
46.146
Elijah Dukes
45.833
Mike Jacobs
44.444
Gabe Kapler
44.375
Darin Erstad
43.958
Josh Anderson
43.958
Norris Hopper
43.750
Juan Encarnacion
43.542
Scott Hairston
42.917
Justin Upton
41.875
Will Venable
41.563
Wilkin Castillo
40.833
Josh Phelps
40.741
Daryle Ward
39.259
Corey Patterson
39.167
Gregor Blanco
38.750
Jason Michaels
38.229
Jerry Hairston
38.021
Travis Ishikawa
37.407
Alfredo Amezaga
37.292
Seth Smith
37.188
Jay Bruce
37.083
Doug Mientkiewicz
37.037
Brian Barton
35.000
Nomar Garciaparra
34.815
So Taguchi
34.375
Delwyn Young
34.167
Endy Chavez
33.854
Rich Aurilia
33.333
Angel Pagan
33.125
Wily Mo Pena
33.125
Dave Roberts
32.708
Trot Nixon
31.667
Ryan Freel
31.250
Chad Tracy
31.111
Aaron Boone
31.111
Brandon Moss
30.000
Chase Headley
29.479
Pablo Sandoval
29.259
Nyjer Morgan
28.125
Tony Clark
26.667
Nick Johnson
24.444
Scott Podsednik
24.375
Marlon Anderson
24.063
Michael Bourn
23.333
Jeff Salazar
23.333
Ryan Langerhans
23.021
Andy Phillips
21.481
Nick Evans
18.229
Joe Mather
17.604
Reggie Abercrombie
13.646
Brandon Jones
13.229
Jolbert Cabrera
13.125
Alejandro De Aza
7.083
Mark Sweeney
5.185
Nick Stavinoha
2.500
Brett Carroll
2.292
Laynce Nix
0.833

American League Second basemen, Third basemen, and Shortstops
Updated September 16
Name Type Score
Alex Rodriguez A 94.805
Michael Young A 88.571
Mike Lowell A 85.714
Orlando Cabrera A 84.571
Derek Jeter A 84.571
Placido Polanco A 82.993
Jhonny Peralta A 82.857
Dustin Pedroia A 82.653
Brian Roberts A 82.313
Edgar Renteria A 82.286
Ian Kinsler A 78.231
Melvin Mora A 76.623
Miguel Cabrera A 75.974
Adrian Beltre A 73.377
Carlos Guillen B 70.857
Robinson Cano B 70.748
Chone Figgins B 65.584
Mark Ellis B 64.626
Scott Rolen B 62.987
Alex Gordon B 62.987
Akinori Iwamura B 61.905
Brendan Harris B 61.143
Jose Lopez B 60.884
Mark Grudzielanek B 60.204
Aaron Hill B 59.864
Marco Scutaro B 58.857
Evan Longoria B 58.442
Juan Uribe B 58.286
Jose Bautista
57.792
Howie Kendrick
55.782
Yuniesky Betancourt
54.286
Bobby Crosby
54.286
Mike Aviles
53.714
Maicer Izturis
53.401
Jason Bartlett
53.143
Julio Lugo
52.286
Brandon Inge
51.299
Jed Lowrie
45.143
Eric Chavez
44.156
Ramon Vazquez
43.831
Asdrubal Cabrera
43.537
Jack Hannahan
41.558
Alexei Ramirez
38.776
Joe Crede
38.312
Erick Aybar
37.429
Hank Blalock
37.013
Nick Punto
37.013
John McDonald
36.571
Ramon Santiago
36.571
Joe Inglett
34.694
Brian Buscher
33.766
Alex Cora
33.714
Jamey Carroll
33.333
Tony Pena
33.143
Adam Everett
31.714
Esteban German
31.293
Wilson Betemit
29.870
Alberto Callaspo
28.912
Willy Aybar
27.273
Matt Tolbert
26.857
Alexi Casilla
25.850
Alex Cintron
25.714
Cliff Pennington
23.052
Josh Barfield
22.449
Juan Castro
22.286
Ben Zobrist
21.429
Joaquin Arias
16.667
Andy Marte
15.584
Brandon Wood
12.987
Sean Rodriguez
10.884
Jason Smith
9.714


National League Second basemen, Third basemen, and Shortstops
Updated September 20

Name Type Score
Chase Utley A 92.857
David Wright A 90.286
Chipper Jones A 89.714
Jimmy Rollins A 86.264
Troy Tulowitzki A 83.516
Aramis Ramirez A 82.857
Jose Reyes A 82.418
Hanley Ramirez A 81.319
Garrett Atkins A 80.000
Brandon Phillips A 79.911
Orlando Hudson A 79.464
Troy Glaus A 78.857
Dan Uggla A 75.000
Freddy Sanchez A 75.000
Miguel Tejada A 74.725
Ryan Zimmerman A 73.143
Mark DeRosa A 71.875
Ron Belliard B 71.429
Kelly Johnson B 70.982
Jeff Kent B 69.643
J.J. Hardy B 69.231
Ty Wigginton B 68.000
Casey Blake B 68.000
Jack Wilson B 67.582
Khalil Greene B 66.484
Luis Castillo B 65.625
Yunel Escobar B 62.637
Kazuo Matsui B 62.500
Mark Loretta B 61.384
Edwin Encarnacion B 60.571
Rickie Weeks B 59.821
Cristian Guzman B 59.615
Rafael Furcal B 59.615
Pedro Feliz B 59.429
Stephen Drew
59.341
Ryan Theriot
57.967
Kevin Kouzmanoff
57.714
Jeff Keppinger
57.692
Aaron Miles
57.366
Mike Fontenot
57.143
Ray Durham
56.696
Omar Vizquel
53.297
Damion Easley
52.679
Mark Reynolds
52.000
Felipe Lopez
51.786
David Eckstein
48.901
Greg Dobbs
48.857
Jorge Cantu
45.714
Blake DeWitt
43.429
Geoff Blum
43.143
Anderson Hernandez
42.857
Alex Gonzalez
39.560
Augie Ojeda
39.509
Clint Barmes
37.946
Cesar Izturis
37.912
Russell Branyan
37.714
Martin Prado
37.500
Adam Kennedy
36.607
Jeff Baker
36.607
Craig Counsell
35.429
Chris Gomez
35.429
Chris Burke
34.375
Ian Stewart
34.286
Kevin Frandsen
33.929
Luis Rodriguez
33.516
Ruben Gotay
33.036
Ronny Cedeno
33.036
Emmanuel Burriss
31.868
Wes Helms
30.857
Jose Castillo
29.143
Omar Quintanilla
26.786
Eric Bruntlett
26.374
Angel Berroa
24.725
Chin-lung Hu
24.176
Alberto Gonzalez
21.978
Tony Abreu
21.714
Andy LaRoche
20.000
Luis Rivas
15.659
Edgar Gonzalez
14.732
Ivan Ochoa
14.011
Eugenio Velez
13.616
Pete Orr
13.429
Emilio Bonifacio
9.821
Sean Kazmar
9.615
David Newhan
8.482
Ryan Rohlinger
0.286


American League Starting Pitchers
Updated: September 2
Name Type TotalScore
Roy Halladay A 95.6928839
John Lackey A 94.85018727
Scott Kazmir A 90.917603
Felix Hernandez A 88.67041199
A.J. Burnett A 87.64044944
Daisuke Matsuzaka A 87.07865169
Fausto Carmona A 84.73782772
Josh Beckett A 84.64419476
James Shields A 84.45692884
Erik Bedard A 83.70786517
Andy Pettitte A 83.70786517
Chien-Ming Wang A 81.92883895
Javier Vazquez A 81.08614232
Justin Verlander A 80.14981273
Cliff Lee A 76.68539326
Gil Meche A 75.93632959
Mike Mussina A 73.22097378
Jon Lester A 73.03370787
Kevin Millwood B 72.84644195
Jered Weaver B 72.65917603
Tim Wakefield B 71.53558052
Mark Buehrle B 70.78651685
Jeremy Guthrie B 70.6928839
Kelvim Escobar B 69.56928839
Zack Greinke B 68.44569288
Dustin McGowan B 67.13483146
Ervin Santana B 66.29213483
Scott Baker B 65.35580524
Jon Garland B 65.35580524
Paul Byrd B 65.26217228
Daniel Cabrera B 63.67041199
Joe Saunders B 62.17228464
Vicente Padilla B 61.70411985
Jose Contreras B 61.04868914
Jeremy Bonderman B 59.92509363
Matt Garza B 59.36329588
Miguel Batista
59.26966292
Justin Duchscherer
57.20973783
Nate Robertson
57.20973783
Glen Perkins
57.02247191
Edwin Jackson
56.55430712
Carlos Silva
56.17977528
John Danks
55.80524345
Kevin Slowey
55.05617978
Gavin Floyd
54.86891386
Brian Bannister
54.86891386
Andy Sonnanstine
54.11985019
Jarrod Washburn
53.74531835
Armando Galarraga
53.55805243
Jesse Litsch
50.18726592
Curt Schilling
47.09737828
Kason Gabbard
46.8164794
Kenny Rogers
46.34831461
Boof Bonser
45.13108614
Jake Westbrook
43.07116105
Brian Burres
39.51310861
Nick Blackburn
39.3258427
Kip Wells
38.76404494
Francisco Liriano
38.57677903
Kyle Davies
36.42322097
Dana Eveland
36.32958801
Bartolo Colon
35.58052434
Carl Pavano
34.26966292
Darrell Rasner
32.20973783
Kameron Loe
31.17977528
Greg Smith
29.7752809
Brandon McCarthy
29.21348315
Anthony Reyes
28.27715356
Sidney Ponson
28.1835206
Matt Harrison
27.34082397
Chris Waters
25
Luke Hochevar
23.78277154
Adam Loewen
23.78277154
Dallas Braden
23.4082397
Sean Gallagher
22.19101124
Jason Jennings
21.62921348
R.A. Dickey
19.85018727
Jeremy Sowers
18.6329588
Troy Patton
18.16479401
Luis Mendoza
17.32209738
Clayton Richard
14.04494382
David Purcey
13.57677903
Eric Hurley
12.7340824
Ryan Feierabend
10.86142322
Gio Gonzalez
9.082397004
Zach Jackson
6.647940075
David Pauley
2.621722846
Luke Hudson
2.059925094
Andrew Brackman
1.779026217
Humberto Sanchez
1.779026217

National League Starting Pitchers
Updated September 7
C.C. Sabathia A 97.70408163
Brandon Webb A 95.66326531
Jake Peavy A 93.28231293
Cole Hamels A 91.66666667
Danny Haren A 89.3707483
Roy Oswalt A 88.35034014
Tim Hudson A 87.41496599
Carlos Zambrano A 86.64965986
Johan Santana A 86.47959184
Ted Lilly A 82.4829932
Ben Sheets A 82.4829932
Tim Lincecum A 78.7414966
Adam Wainwright A 77.55102041
Aaron Harang A 77.21088435
John Maine A 77.04081633
Oliver Perez A 76.53061224
Aaron Cook A 75.76530612
Derek Lowe A 73.80952381
Jeff Francis A 73.38435374
Brad Penny B 72.61904762
John Smoltz B 72.27891156
Chad Billingsley B 69.72789116
Kyle Lohse B 69.64285714
Bronson Arroyo B 69.04761905
Jamie Moyer B 68.28231293
Jeff Suppan B 67.09183673
Joe Blanton B 65.81632653
Matt Cain B 65.56122449
Randy Wolf B 65.30612245
Doug Davis B 64.79591837
Greg Maddux B 64.20068027
Rich Harden B 63.43537415
Chris Young B 63.0952381
Braden Looper B 62.75510204
Chad Gaudin B 61.56462585
Edinson Volquez B 60.79931973
Todd Wellemeyer B 59.86394558
Wandy Rodriguez B 59.69387755
Ricky Nolasco B 59.3537415
Jason Marquis
59.18367347
Randy Johnson
58.92857143
Ian Snell
57.90816327
David Bush
56.29251701
Paul Maholm
55.6122449
Tom Glavine
54.84693878
Barry Zito
53.1462585
Livan Hernandez
53.06122449
Kyle Kendrick
52.97619048
Scott Olsen
52.04081633
Noah Lowry
51.10544218
Tom Gorzelanny
51.02040816
Jair Jurrjens
50.85034014
Orlando Hernandez
50
Yovani Gallardo
48.97959184
Odalis Perez
47.44897959
Ubaldo Jimenez
46.17346939
Joel Pineiro
46.08843537
Manny Parra
45.74829932
Jorge De La Rosa
44.21768707
Tim Redding
43.28231293
Mike Pelfrey
43.1122449
Pedro Martinez
40.81632653
Brandon Backe
39.11564626
Shawn Estes
38.60544218
Zach Duke
38.26530612
Jay Bergmann
38.26530612
Josh Fogg
38.18027211
Jorge Campillo
36.98979592
Chris Volstad
35.79931973
Jonathan Sanchez
35.37414966
John Lannan
35.20408163
Josh Johnson
34.69387755
Cha Seung Baek
34.3537415
Hiroki Kuroda
34.18367347
Andrew Miller
33.84353741
Josh Geer
33.16326531
Shawn Hill
32.22789116
Yusmeiro Petit
29.50680272
Chris Capuano
28.06122449
Sergio Mitre
27.97619048
Johnny Cueto
26.95578231
Chad Reineke
24.06462585
Anibal Sanchez
23.63945578
Felipe Paulino
22.10884354
Nelson Figueroa
22.10884354
Mike Hampton
19.72789116
Chris Carpenter
19.21768707
Jo-Jo Reyes
18.96258503
Collin Balester
17.5170068
Phil Dumatrait
15.73129252
Burke Badenhop
15.39115646
Jeff Karstens
13.86054422
Jason Schmidt
9.523809524
Mark Mulder
4.591836735
Tim Stauffer
3.316326531
Dirk Hayhurst
3.231292517
Jason Vargas
3.146258503
Scott Mathieson
1.870748299
Mark Prior
1.870748299

American League Relievers
Updated September 8
Name Type TotalScore
J.J. Putz A 90.726
Francisco Rodriguez A 88.622
Joe Nathan A 87.807
Jonathan Papelbon A 83.970
Ron Mahay A 83.496
Huston Street A 83.319
Joakim Soria A 82.874
Rafael Betancourt A 82.637
Mariano Rivera A 81.748
Scott Downs A 79.674
Joaquin Benoit A 79.319
Bobby Jenks A 78.607
Hideki Okajima A 77.926
Damaso Marte A 77.867
Scot Shields A 77.393
Pat Neshek A 77.244
George Sherrill A 75.674
Troy Percival A 74.874
Octavio Dotel A 74.874
Rafael Perez A 72.607
Matt Guerrier A 72.326
C.J. Wilson A 72.089
Matt Thornton A 71.585
Dan Wheeler A 69.630
Darren Oliver A 69.156
Scott Linebrink B 68.800
Zach Miner B 67.081
Jamey Wright B 66.607
Sean Green B 66.222
Brian Bruney B 65.867
Jeremy Accardo B 64.770
Jesse Carlson B 63.822
Joey Devine B 63.615
Ryan Rowland-Smith B 63.081
Dennys Reyes B 62.637
Bobby Seay B 61.926
Alan Embree B 61.748
Javier Lopez B 61.659
Santiago Casilla B 61.156
Grant Balfour B 60.326
J.P. Howell B 60.148
Fernando Rodney B 60.119
Jose Arredondo B 59.911
Mike Timlin B 59.763
Frank Francisco B 58.800
Chad Bradford B 58.741
Brad Ziegler B 58.459
Justin Speier B 58.104
Jose Veras B 57.896
Ramon Ramirez B 57.748
Kyle Farnsworth
57.719
Trever Miller
57.007
Jamie Walker
56.889
Casey Janssen
55.956
Manny Delcarmen
55.911
Andrew Brown
55.674
Brian Tallet
55.556
Dennis Sarfate
55.289
Matt Albers
54.311
Edwar Ramirez
54.281
Gary Glover
54.193
Leo Nunez
53.778
Todd Jones
53.630
Justin Masterson
51.244
Jason Frasor
50.548
B.J. Ryan
50.163
Roy Corcoran
49.689
Chris Ray
49.067
Jason Hammel
47.467
Jesse Crain
47.185
David Aardsma
47.022
Jimmy Gobble
45.867
Scott Feldman
45.600
Juan Rincon
45.333
Robinson Tejeda
45.333
Jensen Lewis
45.037
Eddie Guardado
45.007
Horacio Ramirez
44.474
D.J. Carrasco
44.207
Joel Peralta
44.207
Jim Johnson
43.881
Aquilino Lopez
43.644
Joel Zumaya
43.141
Josh Rupe
42.341
Lance Cormier
41.600
Fernando Cabrera
39.644
Masahide Kobayashi
37.926
Craig Breslow
37.274
Casey Fossum
37.096
Brendan Donnelly
37.067
Dan Giese
36.415
Jonathan Albaladejo
36.178
Brandon League
35.556
John Parrish
35.348
Dustin Nippert
34.341
Alberto Castillo
34.044
Brandon Duckworth
32.148
Juan Salas
31.852
John Rheinecker
31.837
Adam Russell
31.348
Keith Foulke
30.993
Shawn Camp
30.830
Randy Messenger
29.956
Alfredo Aceves
29.807
R.A. Dickey
28.711
Jerry Blevins
28.326
A.J. Murray
27.763
Ryan Braun
26.963
Danys Baez
26.385
Rocky Cherry
25.215
Lance Broadway
24.948
Shane Loux
24.919
John Bale
24.326
Edward Mujica
23.052
Chris Britton
20.889
James Hoey
20.770
Cesar Jimenez
20.089
Kirk Saarloos
18.430
Randor Bierd
17.511
Warner Madrigal
11.067
Jake Woods
10.770
Jae Kuk Ryu
10.104
Andrew Sisco
5.067
Jeff Fulchino
3.319
Chad Orvella
2.548
David Pauley
2.044

National League Relievers
Updated: September 10
Name Type TotalScore
Brad Lidge A 87.706
Carlos Marmol A 86.471
Heath Bell A 85.983
Takashi Saito A 83.719
Ryan Dempster A 82.124
Russ Springer A 82.099
Juan Cruz A 79.295
Jonathan Broxton A 78.472
Jose Valverde A 77.469
Billy Wagner A 76.492
Jon Rauch A 75.874
Brian Fuentes A 75.874
Jared Burton A 75.180
Manuel Corpas A 74.666
Matt Capps A 74.511
Doug Brocail A 73.971
Ryan Madson A 73.354
Francisco Cordero A 72.994
Kevin Gregg A 72.737
Chad Qualls A 72.737
Tony Pena A 71.322
J.C. Romero A 71.116
Peter Moylan A 70.833
Kerry Wood A 70.087
Rafael Soriano A 69.470
Luis Vizcaino A 69.419
Aaron Heilman A 69.136
Saul Rivera A 67.978
John Grabow A 67.773
Jesus Colome B 67.721
Taylor Buchholz B 67.670
Brian Shouse B 67.593
Carlos Villanueva B 67.413
Brett Myers B 67.181
Jason Isringhausen B 66.795
Salomon Torres B 66.281
Joe Beimel B 65.484
Chad Durbin B 64.969
Jeremy Affeldt B 64.943
Hong-Chih Kuo B 64.789
Ryan Franklin B 64.223
Scott Proctor B 64.146
Jason Grilli B 63.837
Pedro Feliciano B 63.837
Bobby Howry B 63.092
Renyel Pinto B 61.651
Rudy Seanez B 61.445
Dave Weathers B 60.854
Joel Hanrahan B 60.725
Tim Byrdak B 60.108
Trevor Hoffman B 59.851
Chris Sampson B 59.234
Joe Smith B 59.105
Chad Cordero B 58.282
Joe Nelson B 57.819
Brandon Lyon B 57.510
Eric Gagne B 57.073
Brian Wilson B 56.764
Arthur Rhodes
56.636
Geoff Geary
56.559
Brian Moehler
56.507
Buddy Carlyle
56.353
Tyler Yates
56.301
Brad Thompson
56.121
Logan Kensing
55.787
Matt Lindstrom
55.504
Kevin Correia
54.527
Luis Ayala
53.498
Mike Gonzalez
53.292
Will Ohman
52.675
Steven Shell
52.469
LaTroy Hawkins
52.263
Matt Herges
52.058
Mark Hendrickson
51.955
Cory Wade
51.723
Henry Owens
51.723
David Riske
50.926
Guillermo Mota
50.926
Edgar Gonzalez
50.874
Chris Perez
50.772
Cla Meredith
50.669
Scott Eyre
49.666
Duaner Sanchez
49.614
Manny Acosta
49.588
Tom Gordon
49.537
Clay Condrey
48.174
Jack Taschner
47.377
Jeff Samardzija
47.377
Bill Bray
47.119
Lee Gardner
46.939
Doug Waechter
46.811
Mike Adams
45.499
Julian Tavarez
45.370
Merkin Valdez
45.242
Ambiorix Burgos
44.907
Justin Hampson
44.522
Brett Tomko
44.264
Jeff Bennett
43.570
Wesley Wright
43.133
Chan Ho Park
43.133
Scott Schoeneweis
43.107
Tyler Walker
42.541
Sergio Romo
40.226
Jon Lieber
40.072
Seth McClung
38.632
Tyler Johnson
38.066
Ron Villone
37.629
Kent Mercker
37.269
Alex Hinshaw
36.523
Matt Wise
34.851
Nick Masset
34.799
Denny Bautista
34.234
Ryan Speier
34.182
Keiichi Yabu
33.771
Tony Armas
33.719
Max Scherzer
31.044
Glendon Rusch
30.453
Kyle McClellan
29.630
Mike Lincoln
27.521
Blaine Boyer
27.032
Charlie Manning
25.489
Neal Cotts
25.154
Sean Burnett
24.666
Billy Sadler
24.331
Mike Zagurski
24.331
Jason Johnson
23.637
Angel Guzman
23.585
Brian Stokes
23.251
Ramon Troncoso
22.788
Clay Hensley
22.119
Garrett Mock
21.991
Jason Davis
19.470
Chad Fox
17.798
Brian Falkenborg
17.361
Josh Kinney
16.152
Elmer Dessens
14.583
Gary Majewski
14.352
Scott Elbert
13.709
Osiris Matos
11.883
Harvey Garcia
10.802
Francisco Rosario
10.674
Vladimir Nunez
6.867
Marco Estrada
3.421
Yhency Brazoban
2.726
Jesse Chavez
2.341

50 comments:

jose 'cy young' canseco said...

Great work. What do you think Pudge needs to do the rest of the season to bump up Type A? I guess i really want to know what combination of him improving/Ramon Hernandez doing badly needs to happen? Thanks

Eddie B said...

Pudge is 12th in home runs, but is only two behind Kelly Shoppach, who is 9th.
He's only 4 RBI's behind AJ Pierzynski and 7 behind Jason Varitek.
Another area he could quickly gain ground is batting average, where he is within percentage points of Salty and Jamie Burke. Don't rule out making up ground in OBP, where he is just one point behind Jeff Clement.

In other words, things are tight, and a lot can happen.

Anonymous said...

Eddie -- email me. I can help.

- Will Carroll

PhillyFriar said...

Eddie: this is fantastic work, and while I know it's time-consuming, it's certainly a worthwhile endeavor. Congrats and keep up the good work.

SkiBolton said...

Great work man...Absolutly great

Anonymous said...

FYI - you mislabelled the National League First Basem...as American League.

Otherwise, great stuff!

The Professor said...

Crawford's '09 option has already been picked up. the Rays had to decide in April. Rocco's option was bought out.

Telemachus said...

Will you be able to do the pitchers as well?

Eddie B said...

Pitchers are next. AL Starters will be next: not sure when.

Ale84 said...

Fantastic work. Thanks!

Pablo Zevallos said...

Great stuff! On the rankings, where would you put Joba, starter or reliever?

Eddie B said...

Joba is a reliever, because he has been a reliever in more games in the past two seasons than he has a starter

Alex said...

Shaun Marcum missing from the AL starters list.. (he was in AAA for a week or so, maybe he wasn't on your list?)

Eddie B said...

Marcum isn't on the list because he wasn't on the Major League roster or DL on August 31.

Telemachus said...

wow...Red Sox are going to get a sandwich pick for sending cash to the Indians for Byrd! What a great deal.

The type B guys are almost more valuable then the type A because teams don't have to worry about losing draft picks for signing them, making it more likely that they will sign before the arbitration deadline...

Epstein strikes gold again...

Anonymous said...

What happens if a team offers arbitration to a type A free agent and they decline and retire?

Telemachus said...

nothing...that is what happened with Piazza and the A's.

Ty said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Sam Ritter said...

Can you give a brief explanation of how the system works? How, for example, can Matt Holliday have a higher rating than Albert Pujols?

It would seem simpler to rate free agents according to the salary the new club is paying. So, if a player gets more than X million, he is type A. If he gets X million but more than Y million, he is type B. If he gets less than Y million he is neither. That way the market determines the rating and it is not necessary to use some arbitrary rating system.

Eddie B said...

I gave the explanation in some earlier posts. I've now linked to those in this post. Sorry for the confusion.

Ryan said...

Ryan Dempster? I'm positive he'd be a Type A guy, but he isnt on the list?

Eddie B said...

Position is based on most games played in the past two years. Dempster will be with the relievers.

Tommy said...

How can take these rankings serious when you have Bronson Arroyo ahead of Edinson Volquez. I mean seriously which of the two would rather have. Elias do better!

Anonymous said...

Don't tell anybody but Elias considers the last two years, not just this one.

Anonymous said...

Interesting, but I don't see how the numbers add up and like the poster before me says Elias uses 2 seasons to calculate the rankings.

Take Milton Bradley for example. You have him as a Type B. Bradley was a Type A last year which was calculated on the 2006 and 2007 seasons. Next year his Elias ranking would be based on his 2007 and 2008 seasons. 2006 is switched out and 2008 switched in.

Bradley will clearly be a Type A, his 2008 season far outperformed his 2006 season.

Eddie B said...

Bradley was competing against OF last year and DH this year. There are a ton of bench players who help put him in the top 20 percent of outfielders. This year, he is compared to just 9 other designated hitters, all of which have been able to rack up the counting stats to bump him down.

Bradley leads all DH's in BA and OBP, but is really lacking in the counting stats. He is getting a boost for missing time due to injury last year, but he spent a lot of time on the bench. That time is not accounted for, and he is killed by that.

Anonymous said...

I don't think that is how it works, didn't you say that all category 2 players are grouped together (1B, OF, DH)? If it is taken the way that you say then it is a terribly flawed system.

I still don't think the totals have as equal weight as the other statistics.

Bradley's 52 RBIs and 14 HRs doesn't seem too high even as an OF to earn him a Type A free-agent last year.

Eddie B said...

Anon, check the original link above entitled (Almost) how the rankings work.

Basically, the players obtain their scores against the other players at their own position and then they are grouped with players of another position.

A few more points: Bradley is likely to move up because some of the other DH's had maxed out their DL time as of the last update. When Bradley moves up, he will move up a long ways because of the small amount of players in his group. As soon as he moves up one spot in one category, he gains two points. If he passes 6 guys in homeruns, that's 12 points.

Bradley is also hurt by being in the American League, where his competition is a lot better, except at shortstop.

In short, you are oversimplifying the rankings system. I have linked my explanation for how it works above. Please if you have any specific questions or clarification, please let me know.

Anonymous said...

Eddie,

I appreciate your hard work, but I hope you are wrong with respect to Bradley's classification. I hope there is some proration of Bradley's 2007 OF ranking into his overall ranking this offseason. That is I hope he is not solely evaluated as a DH.

I looked at your link and you state that players used mainly as PH/PR are put into the DH category. Do you have an estimation to how many there are that fit this description?

Eddie B said...

There are none right now.

Bradley will qualify as a DH because he played more games at DH/PH the past two years than at OF. There is no prorating for defensive time and there is no gray area.

As an outfielder, Bradley would qualify as a type A, barely.

Anonymous said...

Eddie,

I did not mean prorating by game by game but per season. But I guess that what you meant. I'm scrtching my head trying to find out how you know this information.

Interesting work. I'd like to see your estimates at the end of the season.

It's excellent work if you are right. Actually it's excellent work if you are not too.

Anonymous said...

If Tadahito Iguchi is a type "B" do the padres get any compensation next year, since they released him last week?

Eddie B said...

No, I just haven't updated the NL Infielders since the release. They will not get compensation and he will be removed when I update the infielder rankings.

Ken said...

Eddie:
how is Carlos Delgado only barely a Type B? I thought the Elias Rankings are based on the last 3 years (2006 to 2008), he had 38, 114 in 2006, 2007 was a down year and the first two months were bad but in total this year his numbers are 35 103.

how is Matt Kemp a type A???...Jeremy Hermida, Ryan Ludwick and Brian Giles as well for OF/1B in NL? isn't Ludwick a one year wonder so far? Giles batting average was 263 in 2006 and has not hit for much power since he has played in Petco Park.

Does the Elias take on potential for a player like Matt Kemp? and if a player makes an All-Star Team like Ryan Ludwick? or past performance beyond the 3 years for Giles?

Eddie B said...

It's the last two years. Delgado's recent hot streak may move him up a bit when I update them. The link in the post will direct you to how the rankings are arrived at. They do not take into consideration anything you mentioned, just the injury-adjusted PA, BA, OBP, HR, and RBI for the players accumulated in the 2007-2008 seasons.

Bear in mind that outfielders get their scores when compared to other outfielders and are only grouped with the firstbasemen once they get their Elias score.

Telemachus said...

Eddie,

Any chance that Gagne will be able to hang on to his "B" status?

That would be a boon for the Brewers, and at least leave the possibility for getting a return on the investment the team made in him.

I think the team will try hard to resign Shouse and will most likely pick up Cameron's option. But it's safe to assume they will lose CC and Sheets. Add Gagne and possibly Shouse and the Brewers are looking at 5 or 6 extra picks!

Eddie B said...

Bear in mind if the Brewers are to get a draft pick for Gagne, they'd have to offer him arbitration and risk being stuck with him for another year.

David said...

Telemachus, even if Gagne retained type B status, the Brewers would have to risk offering him arbitration. Granted, his agent is Boras and it's unlikely. But what if he DID accept? Imagine the outrage!

Telemachus said...

No outrage, because as you (I believe) pointed out you can cut a vets salary in arbitration as much as you like so the floor wouldn't be locked at 8M.

Also, despite his performance, I think there is a good chance he could get signed before the arbitration deadline because the team signing him wouldn't have to worry about losing any picks...Then the Brewers would get the pick automatically...

Regardless, it seems likely that CC and Sheets will sign with teams in the top half of the standings (Dodgers, Yankees, Mets) with maybe your Tigers jumping in from the bottom...which would leave the team with 5 of the top 40 or so picks...CC will bring back the first pick of the compensation round so 4 of the first 33 (assuming Fields signs)...Any other comp picks would be gravy!

Granted I'd much rather keep one of the two...

Anonymous said...

Ryan Dempster is listed as a reliever even though he's started all season.

Telemachus said...

why are you guys such idiots...Eddie is so patient in how he explains the system to you...

Eddie B said...

Position is based on where you have played the most games in the past two season. Ryan Dempster has relieved more than he started in that time frame.

red said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Anonymous said...

Hey your blog got a mention in the Detroit Free Press, congratulations. You do great work and I enjoy reading your blog.

Anonymous said...

Can you update the Elias rankings after the last game of the year - Sunday???

Pitchers Hit Eighth said...

Eddie-

After his last two wins (and barring a major catastrophe in his last start), any chance Kyle Lohse will sneak into type A classification?

Pitchers Hit Eighth said...

Heh - guess that Lohse classification is a moot point now.

Jeff said...

Do you have a final update yet? Have you completely succeeded in reverse engineering the rankings? This is freaking awesome, btw.

Eddie B said...

I'll be posting them in individual posts over the next couple of weeks. I'm double checking everybody's DL status, which takes way too long right now. The Final National League Starting Pitchers are ready, and the relievers should be up sometime tomorrow. I've been pretty busy the past week and haven't had the time to dive through all of the injury transactions of every player.

Paul said...

Jim Thome is not a free agent. 2009 was an option year, but it became guaranteed when he reached a certain amount of ABs during the 2007 and 2008 seasons.