Applying my formula to this upcoming class, here is how I am projecting the Elias Sports Bureau would rank the American League Catchers if the season ended yesterday.
| Victor Martinez | 93.878 |
| Jorge Posada | 86.939 |
| Joe Mauer | 84.082 |
| A.J. Pierzynski | 77.959 |
| Ivan Rodriguez | 77.959 |
| Jason Varitek | 76.327 |
| Kenji Johjima | 72.245 |
| Dioner Navarro | 70.204 |
| Ramon Hernandez | 70.204 |
| Kurt Suzuki | 67.755 |
| Miguel Olivo | 62.041 |
| Gregg Zaun | 62.449 |
| John Buck | 59.592 |
| Rod Barajas | 60.816 |
| Mike Redmond | 60.000 |
| Gerald Laird | 60.000 |
| Mike Napoli | 59.184 |
| Kelly Shoppach | 55.918 |
| Jarrod Saltalamacchia | 53.061 |
| Jamie Burke | 49.796 |
| Jeff Mathis | 45.306 |
| Jose Molina | 42.041 |
| Rob Bowen | 37.959 |
| Jeff Clement | 36.327 |
| Jason LaRue | 34.286 |
| Curtis Thigpen | 32.245 |
| Toby Hall | 28.163 |
| Kevin Cash | 26.939 |
| Max Ramirez | 25.714 |
| Shawn Riggans | 25.306 |
| Guillermo Quiroz | 23.673 |
| Chad Moeller | 22.041 |
| Taylor Teagarden | 17.143 |
| Sal Fasano | 14.286 |
| Ryan Budde | 3.673 |
| Vance Wilson | 0.000 |
The top 7 would qualify as Type A players, while the next 7 are Type B. Martinez and Posada are in the midst of injury plagued seasons, while guys trailing Rodriguez such as Jason Varitek and Kenji Johjima are struggling this year. As a result, I am fairly confident in saying that Ivan Rodriguez will be a class A player this offseason. This means the Tigers would get a sandwich pick and a first/second round pick if he signs with another team after being offered arbitration.
After I can figure out the formula to a tee, I will post the methodology and hopefully the compensation status of other Tigers' free agents.
5 comments:
I've been wondering if he would get Type A, and that will be an interesting debate for the FO.
Is the risk of him accepting arbitration and making something greater than $10.4M (no great than 20% paycut, right?) worth the shot at two top draft picks?
Since he probably would get a bit more than that minimum if he accepted, I kind of doubt it.
Great stuff Eddie. Just don't forget to add in Jamie Burke's pitching performance!
Haha on Burke
Actually, I need to be careful not to do just that. It appears as if defensive stats are only to be counted for time at the designated position...
I'll have more on the methodology in the coming days... Basically when I get stuck trying to figure out this last problem...
Great work Eddie. It's good to know the status of free agents ahead of time. Getting two picks for Pudge would be a good thing.
Lee
I say offer it to him. What's the worst that happens? He accepts it? Since we don't have a Max Ramirez waiting in the wings, I'll take another year of Pudge.
Who knows? Maybe he'll go into the Hall as a Tiger if he plays another year that he enjoys. I'd love to see another D hat in bronze.
(That's obviously not something to consider in this decision AT ALL, and highly unlikely anyway due to his time with the Rangers, but it is kind of fun to think about I think.)
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